Thursday, June 23, 2016

Can We Rely on Accounting?

Determining firm value relies on estimating items such as cash flows and discount rates. Much of this stems from basic accounting statements. However, as a recent WSJ article  notes, the backward focus of accounting is often unreliable in predicting future values necessary for valuation.

Monday, June 20, 2016

Interest Rates and Intrinsic Value

In theory, the intrinsic value of a financial asset is simply the present value (PV) of its future cash flows. As in any PV calculation, the discount rate is determined by the market interest rate plus a risk premium. With lower interest rates, all else equal, PV is higher. Thus, if market interest rates rise, asset values (and associated market prices) could be set for a fall. See article here, WSJ.