Friday, September 28, 2012

Rogue Trader

On June 30, 2009, the price of oil jumped $1.50 per barrel during the night. This was curious since no major political event had taken place. Well, the Financial Services Authority just released a report that a drunk trader purchased futures contracts on 7 million barrels, which pushed the price up. Even more ironic, the trader was so drunk he didn't even remember doing it. See article here, CNBC.

Monday, September 24, 2012

Futures Exchanges

Most people are familiar with the primary futures exchanges, such as the CBOT, CME, and the NYMEX (all part of the CME Group). However, there are some more specialized (and interesting) exchanges. For example, check out Intrade, which is a futures market based on political outcomes. Also, you can invest based on Hollywood movies (Hollywood Stock Exchange).

Friday, September 14, 2012

High Yield Debt

High Yield Debt is a nice way of saying "junk" debt, i.e., debt that is considered speculative grade. As you would expect, the yield on such debt, due to higher default risk, is higher than standard investment grade debt. However, with historically low interest rates, even the yields on "high yield" debt don't look so high any more. See article here, International Financing Review.

Friday, August 31, 2012

Short Squeeze

Short interest may be considered an indicator of overall market sentiment regarding a stock, with high short interest being bearish. However, if short sellers rush to cover their positions, a so-called "short squeeze," the price of the stock may increase substantially. This is what recently happened with Pandora stock. See the article here, Pandora.

Wednesday, August 29, 2012

Media = Contrarian Indicator

The media often focuses on financial stories; however, they tend to be late to the game. Meaning, once they report on an event, the market has likely already digested it. Recently, Bespoke Investment Group found that the number of financial stories posted on the Drudge Report was negatively correlated to the subsequent market performance. See the article here, Yahoo.

Weather Derivatives

Most people are aware of stock options or futures contracts on commodities such as gold and oil. However, the derivatives market is very diverse, including such things as weather derivatives. With hurricane season upon us, you may want to do some research on hurricane futures and options (http://www.cmegroup.com/trading/weather/hurricanes/hurricane.html). Essentially, these contracts allow insurers to transfer risk to other parties, such as hedge funds. See the article here, CME Group.

Plan Now

Almost half of all retirees have $10,000 or less in savings when they die. While social security or pensions may provide adequate income, it illustrates the dependence on these outside sources. Going forward, there will be fewer pension plans (switching to defined contribution plans), and social security is no guarantee. So, plan now. See article here, Market Watch.